Palladium scramble

Guess there is no better way to call this sudden price spike of palladium, the catalytic converter metal by excellence.

Precious metal and miner 2019 overview and outlook for 2020

Best wishes for 2020

This blog article is monitoring the trends over a 6 and over a 12 months time horizon. Therefore the graphs posted here are showing daily observations year-to-date. For the very long term reference frame, see the articles referenced at the bottom.

How raising capital reduces market capitalization

Highly counter-intuitive, yet that 's exactly what happens more than once. We shed our light at the latest capital raise of McEwen Mining, closed little over a week ago.

Palladium at almost twice the price of Platinum

By mid October it looked as if Palladium was rallying to twice the price of Platinum, with the price ratio hitting 1.974 at the Comex close on 16 Oct. Less than 2% to go ... Eventually it didn't happen.

New linear regression between the HUI miners index and the Gold Price

Price trends of individual miners are correlated with the gold price. On an aggregated level, a linear regression between the HUI gold miners index and gold may for hold several years. Presently, an emerging linear regression is revealed, fundamentally different from what was observed before.

HUI to Gold Regression: the 2008-10 recovery

What happened to stocks during the 2008 financial crisis needs little explanation. Whereas the broad stock market kept meandering along the lows till March 2009, gold recovered very quickly.
US Government bailouts such as TARP (Troubled Assets Relieve Program) abruptly doubled the money supply. The FED medicine to ease the pain in the broad economy undermined faith in the dollar and raised fear for an escalating inflation.

HUI to Gold regression revisited

During the gold rally which took us from below $280/Oz by end 2001 to $1000 in March 2008, we were repeatedly told that the HUI miners index fluctuated around half of the price of gold (in USD). It was a trading rule which wasn't really questioned in depth and it seemed to hold for several years.

Gold Miner Pulse 2019 (half-year update)

The focus of this blog article is on the gold and silver miners from a tactical point of view: how do PM miners perform relative to the price of gold or silver.

Miners disappointing

Miners continue plunging on any precious metal retreat and follow almost reluctantly while gold and silver are recovering. Expectations have aligned with experience until this infernal dynamic got deeply encrusted in the investor mindset.

Selecting Precious Metal Miners and Explorers

Searching for excellence

Precious metal explorers as investment vehicles have a long standing track record of extreme volatility. As Rick Rule of Sprot Asset Mgt. USA uses to formulate it: “We have known both the thrill of victory and the agony of defeat”.

It is obvious that the success of precious metal explorers goes together with both the exploration talent of a small team of geologists and with their broader management skills. Add just a grain of luck in picking among the promising geological anomalies the successful drilling locations. To end this introduction with another quote of Rick Rule: “Profitable miners ultimately will see their share price reflect increased cash flows from mining operations, but you can’t count on a gold bull market to bail you out of a dumb decision on an explorer investment.”