Saturday 28 September 2019

New linear regression between the HUI miners index and the Gold Price

Price trends of individual miners are correlated with the gold price. On an aggregated level, a linear regression between the HUI gold miners index and gold may for hold several years. Presently, an emerging linear regression is revealed, fundamentally different from what was observed before.

Monday 16 September 2019

HUI to Gold Regression: the 2008-10 recovery

What happened to stocks during the 2008 financial crisis needs little explanation. Whereas the broad stock market kept meandering along the lows till March 2009, gold recovered very quickly.
US Government bailouts such as TARP (Troubled Assets Relieve Program) abruptly doubled the money supply. The FED medicine to ease the pain in the broad economy undermined faith in the dollar and raised fear for an escalating inflation.